Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.257162 2.575286 2.922332 3.329080 3.792834 4.305243 4.914576
2025-08-31 1.773123 2.206680 2.721912 3.379588 4.197372 5.181677 6.457940
2025-09-07 1.477765 1.952242 2.550250 3.359770 4.428308 5.792527 7.670224
2025-09-14 1.256217 1.742727 2.386150 3.300137 4.567149 6.264953 8.719319
2025-09-21 1.098243 1.589572 2.267082 3.270598 4.722189 6.750839 9.811344
2025-09-28 0.966851 1.453501 2.150101 3.221264 4.830892 7.166734 10.828151
2025-10-05 0.931145 1.449455 2.217271 3.439298 5.341119 8.198252 12.837380
2025-10-12 0.853547 1.372042 2.164824 3.467316 5.561004 8.808598 14.256207
2025-10-19 0.807996 1.338514 2.174087 3.588397 5.931856 9.677589 16.155791
2025-10-26 0.738761 1.258904 2.101260 3.567524 6.067334 10.177259 17.492635
2025-11-02 0.679778 1.189869 2.038047 3.554198 6.209980 10.694840 18.898644
2025-11-09 0.618241 1.110102 1.948766 3.486294 6.249810 11.037102 20.024979
2025-11-16 0.578378 1.068590 1.928270 3.549596 6.549062 11.895657 22.230783
2025-11-23 0.539126 1.024911 1.901116 3.601116 6.838323 12.776122 24.594558
2025-11-30 0.494464 0.965889 1.839252 3.580097 6.987585 13.410372 26.555417
2025-12-07 0.449574 0.901354 1.760050 3.516525 7.046533 13.876419 28.233515
2025-12-14 0.413565 0.850220 1.700929 3.485037 7.163021 14.460914 30.203070
2025-12-21 0.379093 0.798425 1.635075 3.432448 7.229896 14.950393 32.024520
2025-12-28 0.377172 0.813477 1.704608 3.664869 7.907701 16.742596 36.766536
2026-01-04 0.355357 0.784084 1.679600 3.694737 8.158562 17.669501 39.739382
2026-01-11 0.344278 0.776692 1.699886 3.823810 8.636162 19.121988 44.020029
2026-01-18 0.321164 0.740223 1.653973 3.801559 8.774800 19.848010 46.731021
2026-01-25 0.300712 0.707696 1.613543 3.787353 8.929512 20.622790 49.632859